Creating Facts on the Ground: Conflict Dynamics in Abyei (HSBA Working Paper 26)

Submitted by Lionel Kosirnik on 1 February, 2021

Creating Facts on the Ground: Conflict Dynamics in Abyei analyses the dynamics of the conflict in Abyei and looks at the implications of these clashes for the Abyei referendum, the demarcation of the territory’s borders, and the North–South peace process more generally. It focuses on the 2011 escalation of the conflict, setting it in the context of historical patterns of violence in the territory.

Forgotten Darfur: Old Tactics and New Players (HSBA Working Paper 28)

Submitted by Lionel Kosirnik on 1 February, 2021

Although the international community generally holds that the Darfur conflict has experienced profound and propitious improvement since 2010, Forgotten Darfur: Old Tactics and New Players thus argues that, as the conflict enters its ninth year, there is no clear-cut prospect of a decisive end to violent confrontation. Its key findings include the following:

New War, Old Enemies: Conflict Dynamics in South Kordofan (HSBA Working Paper 29)

Submitted by Lionel Kosirnik on 1 February, 2021

New War, Old Enemies: Conflict Dynamics in South Kordofan describes the first year of renewed war (June 2011– July 2012) based on field research in South Kordofan and South Sudan in February and May 2012. It focuses on the conduct and dynamics of the current conflict and the primary armed actors, identifying shared weapons and ammunition holdings based on detailed accounts of materiel seized, as well as photographs and first-hand physical inspections.

Following the Thread: Arms and Ammunition Tracing in Sudan and South Sudan (HSBA Working Paper 32)

Submitted by Lionel Kosirnik on 1 February, 2021

Following the Thread: Arms and Ammunition Tracing in Sudan and South Sudan provides an overview of the project’s findings with regard to the types of weapons observed, their country of manufacture, and patterns of holdings among different actors that are indicative of common supply sources. It synthesizes the findings of more than two years’ worth of fieldwork and follow-up investigations by HSBA project staff and consultants, initially published in web-based reports.

The Sudan Revolutionary Front: Its Formation and Development (HSBA Working Paper 33)

Submitted by Lionel Kosirnik on 1 February, 2021

The Sudan Revolutionary Front: Its Formation and Development examines the SRF, its major military campaigns and core political beliefs, and the local and international consequences of the new rebel alliance. The paper is based on interviews with SRF leaders, NCP officials, diplomats, and security sources conducted in Juba, Kampala, Khartoum, and London in 2013.

Development Deferred: Eastern Sudan after the ESPA (HSBA Working Paper 36)

Submitted by Lionel Kosirnik on 1 February, 2021

Almost a decade after the signing of the Eastern Sudan Peace Agreement (ESPA) there is a need for an independent review of its implementation that takes into account the viewpoints of all stakeholders involved in or affected by the agreement. Development Deferred: Eastern Sudan after the ESPA investigates and analyses the implementation of the ESPA in an attempt to answer key questions: what role has the GoS played in implementing the agreement?